Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Kip's avatar

Ah, I love this blog. It's like offloading my reading homework, since we're interesting in mostly the same topics.

Notes:

1. Moral sense: I prefer a hybrid view of evolution, where natural history is broadly evolutionary per Darwin, but Easter eggs have been divinely inserted for us to notice (sleep, Freud, etc. - humor is the most glaring Easter Egg I think).

I agree that broken windows and related conservative ideology still have their place - I'm a middle class attorney with no desire for Sandy to turn into Portland. But its importance is shifting in the age of AI faster than you or I can price in. I call (part of) this the expanding Bohemian circle in Interstellar #4.

Notice that Elon Musk is both pro-natalist and hawkish on the homeless. Whereas Jesus didn't have kids, effectively committed suicide, and was extremely utilitarian toward the homeless. This fits with Musk as a modern Elijah, who is expected to return in the End Times.

2. The Gulag Arch and Stalin's War. This is interesting to me because it paints the Bolsheviks poorly, and one thing I am learning is that these bad optics often turn out to be misleading when you dig deeper. Miles Mathis has good research on this, including an article on Stalin. This might be too politically incorrect for you and your readers, but it is where my research led me. It's an interesting question to ask whether the Tsar's geneology overlaps with Stalin's, and how much. The more I learn, the more I suspect that big chunks of this drama was essentially theater, which I do not pretend to fully understand.

Somewhat of a tangent: on the horrors of Soviet state police, I read a book on how to survive the emerging of similar totalitarianism in the USA, which I honestly expected. It never happened. Instead Musk bought Twitter and turned it into Gab, and now Grok is giving uncensored answers that help political dissidents keep their jobs and reputations. I read that book about two years ago.

Ron Unz, to the extent you can trust him, has seemingly good research on how Stalin was about to invade Europe before the Nazi advance.

3. Doctored Fraud: I'm equally skeptical of reports of medical crises. COVID taught us that these things get weird (if nothing else), and I agree with the director of HHS that the HIV pandemic was in some ways fraudulent or overblown.

As someone who spent 95% of his life following cutting edge dietary advice, I recently learned that the hostility toward saturated fat was based on fraud from the sugar lobby. These days I'm wondering whether the science against sugar (which is massive) is also fraudulent. I eat tons of sugar these days. And certainly the sugar-bad hypothesis fits with the theory that cancer is based on parasites, as I now suspect. Cancer and homosexuality could be based on parasites, and this raises interesting questions about why the blob was so hostile to Ivermectin. Both of my wife's parents died young of cancer, as did my grandmother and countless others.

It's also worth mentioning that RFKJ now plans to direct 20% of funds to replication, which I expect to be illuminating, but perhaps not in the way he seemingly expects.

4. Supply Chains: This is a tangent but your writing raises the question of fake industries - or (more plausibly) moribund industries that the market hasn't cleared yet. After computers made X obsolete, X was still sold for years or decades until the switch was fully absorbed. Many industries are like that - even in parts of the lawyer's profession. Miles also covers several examples of fake/obsolete industries (health insurance as one notable example). If this seems shocking, an aggressive AI timeline shared by many of our intellectual heroes is just going to make things weirder.

5. Facebook: This sounds like the sort of salacious book that I would enjoy reading. However, I wonder how much of it is fake. Miles has an article on Zuck, which I haven't read yet. But I expect his biography, upon scrutiny, to fit the same pattern that we see elsewhere. His character is the main star of my favorite movie from about 2010-2024, The Social Network. The notion that certain people are "propped up" without commensurate skill - that the world is deceptive far, far less meritocratic than we commonly presuppose, raises fascinating questions about our own lives.

6. Who Not How. I've actually read this, back when I was more ambitious. Seems to me to be obsolete in the age of AI. Ubiquitous 170 IQ agents should arrive in 3-18 months. We can quibble over how optimistic the timeline is, but that expected reality will shake the foundations on which this book (which I loved) is built. Note also that the father of the author wrote Topgrading, which is a must read for anyone who hires/manages such as yourself (but not me).

4.

Expand full comment
Brandon Hendrickson's avatar

>> "But it’s interesting to reflect that even when you’re talking about the perpetuation of the species, no one wants to mention the word “duty” or anything that might imply that even if having children ends up being a sacrifice we might still need to do out of an obligation to the wider group."

I wonder if the best way to sell pro-natalism is to avoid both the extremes of "self-interest" and "duty" and take the mean of "gratitude". Something like: "this world is broken but it's also wonderful, and I'm thankful that I've gotten to be a part of it. It seems fitting to give back to it."

Obviously, there are pieces of that which need to be unpacked, but my hunch is that there's something to this. A better flavor, somehow.

Expand full comment
3 more comments...

No posts