In which I start by using my massive intellect to predict a timeline for the end of the world and end with admitting that I couldn't remember whether I'd read a specific book or not.
Most importantly, why would you say that Christ will return in the next century if at all? Look at how many Christians through history were sure the signs were pointing to a quick return of Christ, and we now know they were wrong. I agree the signs look likely now, but no more likely than they did to Augustine or Luther in their own eras.
On book reviews - I write book reviews largely for the sake of helping myself digest my thoughts about the book and remember the book better. Secondarily, they point out books I have something to say about or want to recommend to others. If they're helping you with any of that, great. If not - maybe just compress it down to one sentence or so a book if anything?
As Kip said, you've got a lot of more original things to say. I'm not going to be sorry if you focus your energy there.
My falsifiable prediction was the next thousand years not the next hundred. And yes someone living in 500 AD might have made a similar prediciton, and I was overly hasty to talk about all Christianity being falsified, but I definitely think my sect would be.
I appreciate the kind words on my originality, but it's my hope that in a 4D chess maneuver that publishing more individual posts (in the form of book reviews) will lead to me posting more of anything. But as I said it's an experiment.
Certainly you're not alone in that opinion. And you should stay tuned for a review of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" which I have pre-ordered, and is coming out in two weeks. But I've always been more skeptical than the median rationalist.
I don't know whether AI will kill us all (nor does anyone else), but the fact that we only ever get one shot at this, and if we get it wrong its "Game Over" for our entire species forever, ought to be sobering.
Also, thank you for reminding me to pre-order that book. I expect I'll be reviewing it as well.
5- I have a sense (perhaps incorrect) that by publishing a lot, I'll publish even more. That there will be something of a momentum effect. We'll have to see if I'm correct or not.
9- That's hilarious. I was actually thinking of including something about how the AI guy looks like me. But as you know I do have a grey beard and grey hair... ;)
Most importantly, why would you say that Christ will return in the next century if at all? Look at how many Christians through history were sure the signs were pointing to a quick return of Christ, and we now know they were wrong. I agree the signs look likely now, but no more likely than they did to Augustine or Luther in their own eras.
On book reviews - I write book reviews largely for the sake of helping myself digest my thoughts about the book and remember the book better. Secondarily, they point out books I have something to say about or want to recommend to others. If they're helping you with any of that, great. If not - maybe just compress it down to one sentence or so a book if anything?
As Kip said, you've got a lot of more original things to say. I'm not going to be sorry if you focus your energy there.
My falsifiable prediction was the next thousand years not the next hundred. And yes someone living in 500 AD might have made a similar prediciton, and I was overly hasty to talk about all Christianity being falsified, but I definitely think my sect would be.
I appreciate the kind words on my originality, but it's my hope that in a 4D chess maneuver that publishing more individual posts (in the form of book reviews) will lead to me posting more of anything. But as I said it's an experiment.
In my opinion, AI killing everyone seems the most likely catastrophic event, more likely than a big nuclear war.
Certainly you're not alone in that opinion. And you should stay tuned for a review of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" which I have pre-ordered, and is coming out in two weeks. But I've always been more skeptical than the median rationalist.
I don't know whether AI will kill us all (nor does anyone else), but the fact that we only ever get one shot at this, and if we get it wrong its "Game Over" for our entire species forever, ought to be sobering.
Also, thank you for reminding me to pre-order that book. I expect I'll be reviewing it as well.
5- I have a sense (perhaps incorrect) that by publishing a lot, I'll publish even more. That there will be something of a momentum effect. We'll have to see if I'm correct or not.
9- That's hilarious. I was actually thinking of including something about how the AI guy looks like me. But as you know I do have a grey beard and grey hair... ;)